Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-12 8.376209e-05 0.000100 0.000117 0.000136 0.000158 0.000181 0.000207
2025-01-19 6.304353e-05 0.000084 0.000109 0.000138 0.000173 0.000212 0.000258
2025-01-26 4.895061e-05 0.000071 0.000098 0.000133 0.000174 0.000222 0.000281
2025-02-02 4.029355e-05 0.000064 0.000094 0.000134 0.000183 0.000242 0.000316
2025-02-09 3.340637e-05 0.000057 0.000089 0.000133 0.000189 0.000256 0.000343
2025-02-16 2.951580e-05 0.000054 0.000089 0.000137 0.000201 0.000279 0.000381
2025-02-23 2.548297e-05 0.000051 0.000087 0.000139 0.000208 0.000296 0.000410
2025-03-02 2.009285e-05 0.000044 0.000080 0.000133 0.000207 0.000301 0.000426
2025-03-09 1.628456e-05 0.000039 0.000075 0.000130 0.000208 0.000308 0.000444
2025-03-16 1.358021e-05 0.000035 0.000072 0.000129 0.000211 0.000320 0.000467
2025-03-23 1.167626e-05 0.000033 0.000070 0.000130 0.000218 0.000334 0.000494
2025-03-30 9.637342e-06 0.000030 0.000067 0.000129 0.000220 0.000344 0.000516
2025-04-06 7.193091e-06 0.000026 0.000062 0.000125 0.000220 0.000351 0.000534
2025-04-13 5.955601e-06 0.000024 0.000061 0.000127 0.000228 0.000370 0.000570
2025-04-20 4.175572e-06 0.000020 0.000056 0.000121 0.000226 0.000373 0.000584
2025-04-27 3.336419e-06 0.000019 0.000055 0.000122 0.000232 0.000389 0.000616
2025-05-04 2.501913e-06 0.000017 0.000052 0.000121 0.000236 0.000401 0.000642
2025-05-11 2.159082e-06 0.000016 0.000053 0.000126 0.000247 0.000424 0.000684
2025-05-18 1.697916e-06 0.000015 0.000052 0.000127 0.000254 0.000441 0.000717
2025-05-25 1.045797e-06 0.000013 0.000047 0.000122 0.000251 0.000442 0.000729
2025-06-01 6.539770e-07 0.000011 0.000044 0.000119 0.000250 0.000448 0.000747
2025-06-08 4.251147e-07 0.000010 0.000043 0.000118 0.000253 0.000459 0.000772
2025-06-15 2.900906e-07 0.000009 0.000042 0.000119 0.000259 0.000475 0.000803